Thermal History - SST Variability
(Version 2.0, experimental, released September 24, 2018)

Warm Season Variability
Warm Season Variability
Annual Variability
Annual Variability
Warmest Month Variability
Warmest Month Variability

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Coming Soon: Google Earth file of Version 2.0 Thermal History Products.


Thermal History Products:
Home | Stress Frequency | Stress Onset | SST Variability | SST Trend | Climatology | Annual History

Download data (netCDF):
Stress Frequency (248Mb) | Stress Onset (400Mb) | SST Variability (133Mb) | SST Trend (133Mb)
Climatology (591Mb) | Annual History (3.7Gb)


 
Product Description

SST Variability metrics: Historical variability in sea surface temperature (SST) has been related to the level of sensitivity of corals to heat stress, in that higher variability can confer lower sensitivity1. Less-sensitive corals and reef sites are less impacted when exposed to particular heat stress levels (as described by Coral Reef Watch's near-real-time satellite products). Historical Variability values are determined at coral reef-containing and adjacent locations worldwide, for 1985-2017, using the Version 1.0 CoralTemp daily global 5km SST data product.

Where relevant, the range of values calculated from analyzed pixels is shown in [brackets] after each metric name.

Warm Season [0.12-1.14°C] and Warmest Month [0.17-1.21°C] Variability: Sites with high summer temperature variability can have less sensitivity to coral bleaching. The Warmest Month is identified in a separate metric (see Climatology page), based on the 28-year CoralTemp climatology; the warm season is defined as the three-month period centered on the Warmest Month. For each of these, the average temperature for the stated time period is determined for each year in the time-series (1985-2017); the variability shown is the standard deviation of these values after the removal of any linear trend (see SST Trend page).

Annual Variability [0.11-1.00°C]: This metric speaks to the variability between years, which can modify the impact of heat stress events and the susceptibility of corals and reef sites to future events2. This aids in identifying coral reef locations for which the thermal regime is dominated by high inter-annual variability when compared with the climatological range (e.g., in the central Pacific, linked to phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle; see Climatology page). For the Annual Variability metric, the average temperature is determined for each year in the time-series (1985-2017); the variability shown is the standard deviation of these values after the removal of any linear trend (see SST Trend page).

1Guest JR, et al. (2012) Contrasting Patterns of Coral Bleaching Susceptibility in 2010 Suggest an Adaptive Response to Thermal Stress. PLoS ONE 7(3): e33353.
2Donner SD (2011) An evaluation of the effect of recent temperature variability on the prediction of coral bleaching events. Ecological Applications 21(5): 1718-1730.

 

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